5 Tsib Hli, qhov kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm qhov teeb meem tam sim no ntawm kev tsim muaj peev xwm ntawm cov khoom siv hauv tsev
Ntxuav cav: nplai stagnation DC upgrade
Lub teb chaws tus txheej txheem GB / T4288-2018 "Fais Tshuab Ntxhua Rau Tsev Neeg Thiab Cov Uas Siv Cov Uas Siv", uas tau hloov kho hauv peb lub xyoos dhau los, raug thaum kawg tswm hauv thawj ib nrab xyoo. Cov tuam tsev hais plaub tau tshaj tawm hais tias tus qauv yuav pib rau lub Kaum Hlis 1, 2018. Rau lub tshuab ntxhua ntxhua khaub ncaws, uas yog "tsis muaj qhov zoo" raws li kev teev moo thiab kev hloov lag luam, kev siv txoj cai tshiab tshiab yuav ua rau tsis ntseeg tshiab sib txawv rau lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws.
Rau lub plawv "lub plawv" ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws, kev siv txoj cai tshiab hauv lub tebchaws no yuav ua rau lub zog quab yuam rau kev hloov pauv thiab kev hloov siab dua tshiab.
Stagflation los yog qhov qub
Hauv xyoo 2017, los ntawm kev ua lag luam hauv tsev yuav tsav tsheb me me nce hauv kev muag khoom muag, lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws tau ua qee cov kev ua lag luam nyob rau xyoo ntawm kev lag luam. Raws li kev lag luam online txheeb cais, hauv 2017, Tuam Tshoj tus ntxuav lub cav muag khoom yog 141.86 lab units, kev nce ntawm 8.2% ib xyoos-rau-lub xyoo, teem lub siab tshiab hauv cov cav tov hauv xyoo tas los. Txawm li cas los, lub sijhawm zoo yog luv luv. Thaum lub tsev khw muag khoom nyob thoob plaws teb chaws, nws lub zog quab yuam nyob rau hauv lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws sai sai.
Raws li kev lag luam online cov ntaub ntawv, txij lub Ib Hlis Ntuj mus rau Plaub Hlis 2018, cov khoom siv cav ntxuav tes yog 20.913 lab units, nce ntawm tsuas yog 1.5% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo. Xws li ib lub tshuab ua lag luam tag nrho muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov khoom ntawm cov tshuab hluav taws xob sab nraud. Qhov ntim ntawm cov cav tsheb ntxuav hauv tib lub sijhawm yog 36.71 lab units, ib xyoo raug txo ntawm 0.1%.
Kev ua tiav ntawm cov cav tov hauv khw muag khoom lub khw muag khoom kuj tsis txaus siab. Raws li tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm los ntawm Zhongyikang, txij li Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj mus rau Plaub Hlis 2018, qhov muag khoom ntawm cov tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws yog 12.16 lab units, nce 4.7% xyoo-rau-xyoo; lub khw muag khoom muag yog 23.2 billion yuan, nce 10.3% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo. .
Qhov tseeb tiag, tom qab cov kev cai lij choj xws li khoom siv hauv tsev mus rau hauv lub tshav puam tau maj maj los ntawm Suav lag luam tsib xyoo dhau los, lub tshuab ntxhua ntxhua khaub ncaws tau poob rau hauv ib qho kev me ntsis ntxiv. Nyob rau hauv lub xeev ntawm high enrollment rate, cov khoom vaj khoom tsev thov tshiab thiab kev thov kom rov qab thov dua lub peev xwm tseem ceeb ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws. Txawm li cas los xij, thaum lub ncov ntawm cov vaj tse nyob dhau los, lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws muag tau dua ib zaug ntxiv rau hauv lub xeev ntawm kev cia siab rau cov lag luam tshiab kom muaj kev xav tau. Ib tug neeg ua haujlwm ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws tau hais tias: "Qhov tseem ceeb yog lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws tsis muaj ntau lub ntsiab lus tshiab xws li cua txias thiab cov tub yees kom zoo li qub. ua rau lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws yuav tsum tau tshiab, lub siab kub hnyiab tau zoo heev.Yog zoo heev uas lub khw muag khoom ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws muaj peev xwm tswj tau cov xwm txheej. "
Yog li, thaum tsis muaj kev txhim kho nyob rau hauv tsev lag luam, qhov nqes thiab nqes ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws qog ntseeg tias lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws kev lag luam, nrog rau kev siv cav, yuav muaj kev sibtsis stagflaug xyoo 2018 thiab dhau los.
Hauv qhov teeb meem no, tus qauv ntawm cov chaw lag luam tseem ceeb yog qhov ruaj khov. Kev Tsav Tsheb Tsav Tsheb Welling Motor tau hais tias xyoo 2017, Welling ntxuav motor tau tiav tag nrho 28 lab units, thiab cov muag thiab kev muag khoom hauv thawj plaub lub hlis xyoo 2018 tau nce ntxiv 5.5% ntawm xyoo-rau-lub xyoo. Nyob rau hauv view of stagflation thiab txawm shrinkage ntawm lub ntiaj teb ntxuav cav qev, Willing lub khw sib qhia yuav tsum nce. Thaum lub sijhawm dhau los, Jingma Motor tau npaj siab "hom phiaj peb lub xyoos dhau los" los ntawm nws tus thawj coj ntawm Zhu Zhongjie, thiab txuas ntxiv mus siv zog nyob rau hauv lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws. Nyob rau hauv 2017, thaum tso tawm ntau tshaj 9 vam leej, 2018 Nws yuav tsum tau tawg ntawm 10 lab cim. Nyob rau hauv thawj plaub lub hlis ntawm xyoo 2018, cov khoom ntawm Jingma Tsav tau nce ntau tshaj 20% xyoo-rau-lub xyoo. Tom qab niaj hnub kev hloov kho rau xyoo 2017, Nanyang fais pib siv nws cov dag zog rau xyoo 2018. Tag nrho plaub lub hlis dhau los yuav tshaj 4 lub hlis, thiab lub hom phiaj ntawm 8 lab units yuav raug ntaus thawm xyoo.
Tom qab nrhiav tau ntawm Wolong, Zhangqiu Haier tseem kho nws cov khoom qauv thiab cov kab ntau lawm. Nyob rau hauv 2018, txoj kab ntawm Haier Fais cov khoom muag raug hloov kho rau Nyab Laj. Thaum lub sijhawm ua haujlwm ntawm tes, Haier lub tshuab ntxhua lub cav tau pom tias muaj ib xyoos poob qis dua, tabsis tseem muaj kev muag khoom tseem ceeb hauv tsev.
Nyob rau hauv xyoo tsis ntev los no, Nedko, uas tau ua haujlwm tsis tshua muaj siab nyob rau hauv qhov chaw ua khoom siv hauv tsev, nws tob dua nws cov kev hloov hauv kev ntxuav tsheb. Rau qhov ua tiav ntawm qhov muag tag nrho ntawm 6 lab units hauv 2017, nws npaj yuav ua kom tiav ib qho tawm ntawm tag nrho 8 lab chav nyob rau hauv 2018.
Tsis tas li ntawd, lub sijhawm ntawm lub tshuab hluav taws xob xws li Sanjiang thiab Weikang yog tib yam li cov kev lag luam. Lawv tsis sov thiab yuav sim ua kom muaj kev ruaj khov. Nws yog tsim nyog hais tias lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws muaj kev hloov me ntsis tab sis nws tsis txaus los cuam tshuam rau tag nrho lub khw. Vim li no, cov qauv dej ntawm lub tshuab ntxhua khaub ncaws yog qhov ruaj khov, thiab lub peev txheej ntawm txhua qhov tsis tau nthuav.
Nws yog tsim nyog hais tias cov tuam txhab saum toj no hauv cov txheej txheem ntawm kev tsim kho kev lag luam, DC hloov khoom dua tshiab yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm txoj kev hloov tswv yim.
